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March 30 無法投遞的祝福與感謝David, 生日快樂!
還有兩天才是你的生日, 不過已經想要寫信給你對你說: 生日快樂!
為什麼呢? 因為, 今天是另一個朋友的生日. 而那位朋友, 本來試圖與我及其他人保持距離, 卻因為你, 我體驗到話要及早說出口,免得徒留遺憾.
是的, 他收到我寫的給朋友的情書的第一封. 我們因此再次接納對方, 延續友誼.
David,因為你, 我們把話講開, 把疙瘩化解.
這是個無法投遞的祝福與感謝, 但即使如此, 我還是要說: David, 生日快樂, 還有, 謝謝你!
March 23 spring break part 2 之四: 大餅與關於發酵一二事這是這次春假最後一批麵包類產品.
之前為了消耗self-rising的中筋麵粉,試做大餅. 上次之所以做大餅是因為大餅的發酵程度比一般麵包低, 心想不大會發酵的self-rising中間麵粉來做大餅剛剛好. 這兩天試驗不同麵包目的在於了解self-rising的中筋麵粉發酵程度. 為了了解self rising的發酵程度我分別做了幾個試驗: 1)改變加入的糖與鹽的分量, 2)改變加入yeast的時間,3)改變加入高筋麵粉的時間,4)改變油(如果看食譜的人會發現是用奶油, 我都是用橄欖油或是蔬菜油,因為比較健康). 當然啦,每個試驗分開進行,才能比較清楚各自的作用(避免confounding effect). 根據這些實驗, 從各次的發酵程度歸納各種成分與比例的效果(就是empirical induction嘛!)
根據歸納的結果後重新試驗一次,已經比較能夠掌握self rising麵粉與一般高筋麵粉混用發酵的程度.
這是大餅.是用烙的喔!
另一邊也來一張
看來也許不大, 不過跟旁邊的小pizza對照起來就知道其實是"大"的
取出做大餅的麵團後加入高筋麵粉與yeast繼續揉麵,剩下的做台式麵包與小pizza.
以下是歸納出來的, 經過與食科專家討論後印證我的歸納結果--
糖: 提供養分幫助發酵
鹽: 有兩個作用,一是提味. 像是有人吃水果灑點鹽來讓甜味突顯出來. 二是抑制發酵. 食科專家解釋說,這是鹽析的作用,讓蛋白質更緊實(所以發酵程度變小)
油: 口感滑順, 但是也會抑制發酵. 食科專家說: 因為油脂對於yeast發酵沒有作用,而且又佔據空間,因此油太多發酵發不好
baking powder和yeast的差別: 前者發酵快,後者慢且易受環境的溫溼度就會影響yeast的發酵程度. 一起加入沒幫助. 建議揉麵完成後(此時已經過發酵)再加入新的麵粉與yeast. 食科專家說: 一個是化學性,另一個是生物性(所以比較慢),比較天然因此也比較受環境影響.
最後這點解釋了之前我用self-rising 麵粉同時加入高筋麵粉與yeast之所以發酵結果不佳,是因為baking powder發酵得快(因為是化學性的), 產生二氧化碳的結果讓本來發酵慢的yeast正要發酵時碰上惡劣的環境(二氧化碳),因此即使我加了yeast還是沒有幫助. 這是為什麼我將self rising中筋麵糰揉麵完成後取出部份再添加高筋麵粉與yeast重新揉麵所做成的麵包就發酵的比較好.因為二氧化碳釋放出來後環境回到適宜的溫溼度再加入的麵粉與yeast就可以正常發酵了!
希望這些歸納對於要調整筋度與發酵程度的麵包製作愛好者有些幫助! 不客氣啦.
(我知道你要說謝謝, 所以我就先說不客氣了
March 21 spring break-- part 2 之 三:MSU (密西根州立大學)訪友 (revised)今天到MSU去找朋友. 拜訪的是大學同學(有沒有增加大家的興致一點啊!!).
正在特休中( sabbatical )的朋友與MSU的老師有個研究計畫,因此會在MSU短期居住幾個月. 從我們的住處大概要開一小時(都是高速公路)才能到MSU. 在路上我仔細回想上次見面的時間, 沒想到一算, 上次見面是1995年,也就是說已經14年不見! 天啊! 現在隨機挑一個朋友的認識時間都是十年以上 (何時我的時間已經到用10年為單位了啊!!)!!
拍了幾張有趣的照片,例如這張-- 問題學生的灰燼.
我只看過安琪拉的灰燼(Angela's Ashes)一書與電影, 沒想到竟然有這種玩意兒. 以後來show給學生看看
除了異鄉見故人的喜悅外, 要宅女出門當然要有美食....這是其一
這是飯後甜點......看到別桌點抹茶冰淇淋, 我們找服務生來問, 結果服務生介紹招牌的炸抹茶冰淇淋, 果然好吃啊!!
其他更多照片見spring break 2009相本 March 20 轉載: 台灣官員的親中發言造成社會一片嘩然 (Official's pro-China claim causes uproar in Taiwan)我一直想看外國人對郭冠英事件的看法(報導), 現在終於有一篇,轉載如下. 這裡有中文翻譯
至於我自己的看法? 沒有太多想表示的, 關於自認為高級一事, 還是借鐵娘子的老話一句-- Being powerful is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren't. 擁有權利的人就像淑女,如果你需要告訴別人你是, 那麼你就不是. 將此話的powerful改成高級, 如果一個人需要自己吹噓或是告訴別人自己是高級人,那麼他/她就不是. [1] ----------- Official's pro-China claim causes uproar in Taiwan, The Associated Press Published: March 18, 2009 TAIPEI, Taiwan: President Ma Ying-jeou's efforts to build a diverse communal coalition have taken a hit after an official was alleged to have called Taiwan's majority population "primitive" and suggested China should use force to seize the island. The affair is a huge embarrassment to Ma, who has worked hard to unite Taiwan's fractious communal groups to support his ambitious China engagement program, despite continuing Chinese threats to take over democratic Taiwan by force. While it is unlikely to delay the program's implementation — it still enjoys strong support — it could cost Ma's party votes in this year's local elections, as so-called "native Taiwanese" return to the communally conscious — and anti-China — opposition, the Democratic Progressive Party. The affair burst into the limelight late last week when Kuo Kuan-ying of Taiwan's representative office in Toronto admitted he described himself in a newspaper essay as a "superior mainlander" — a politically charged reference to the 2 million people who came to the island in 1949 after the Chinese civil war and dominated its institutions for the next 50 years. Amid growing local outrage, Kuo denied more serious charges of referring to the majority population of native Taiwanese as "primitives," and writing that "China should use force to take over" Taiwan, even though the island "was not qualified" to unite with Beijing. Lawmakers identified with the interests of native Taiwanese have led the public criticism against Kuo. They say a pen name he is known to have used was on an essay that contained those inflammatory anti-Taiwan, pro-China statements. Ma, whose parents were born in China, is particularly vulnerable on that issue, because he is struggling against a widespread perception that many mainlanders favor unity with China. Taiwan split from the mainland amid civil war in 1949, and has been self-governing ever since. Relations between mainlanders and native Taiwanese — people whose ancestors came to the island from China in the 17th and 18th centuries — have long delineated a crucial political fault line on Taiwan. Native Taiwanese struggled hard against the pro-mainlander policies of Chiang Kai-shek and son Chiang Ching-kuo until 1987 when they were finally able to form a political party of their own. That party came to power in Taiwan's second free presidential elections in 2000, but was soundly defeated by Ma's Nationalists eight years later. A major advantage for Ma, who took office 10 months ago, was his success in shedding the Nationalists' exclusive mainlander image and adopting a more bi-communal personna in its place. The lawmakers are demanding that Kuo be stripped of his job at the Government Information Office — rather than his actual punishment of being demoted and transferred back to Taipei. Even rival lawmakers from the ruling Nationalist Party — long identified with mainlander interests — say Kuo's punishment is not enough. "It is unreasonable that the government is not sanctioning him more severely," said Tsao Erh-chang. National Taipei University political scientist Hou Han-jyun said Monday that Kuo's relatively light punishment was "stirring up communal hatred" and that the matter "needs quick government intervention." Political commentator Chung Nien-huang said, "Kuo Kuan-ying simply said what Ma and (his government) are really thinking — that they are superior mainlanders." [1] 我以前就常跟朋友講,那種名片上要印一堆抬頭的其實都不是什麼了不起的名人. 王永慶的名片只要印王永慶就夠了, 完全不需要靠抬頭來告訴別人他是誰. March 18 spring break--part 2 之二: 實驗麵包坊之麵包正名篇看到網路上有人利用洗菜籃的條紋來做藤籃麵包, 小孩子個性又發作,左暗示 (你想不想吃藤籃麵包啊)右明示(我們也有洗菜籃耶)跟DG說:我也想做耶! DG很配合的,在昨天晚上吃完飯後說: 我有預感等一下需要吃宵夜. 之所以需要吃宵夜是因為晚餐吃得比較少, 而晚上吃得比較少是因為下午去喝下午茶吃太多......反正就是惡性循環啦!
總之,昨天(3/16)晚上吃完飯後一邊看從圖書館借來的電影spray,一邊把揉好的面糰放到洗菜籃, 拿到房間裡讓它發酵. 至於為什麼要放到房間呢? 因為房間裡的溫度比較高, 比較適合發酵. 話說自己要付暖氣費用的話,溫度當然要調低,不然太貴付不起啊! 我們一般都調在55F, 房間內用小電熱器來維持溫暖(70F左右). 即使這樣,一個月還是要160左右的暖氣費!!
又扯遠了...........發現自己廢話好多
反正做出來的藤籃麵包就是不成功啦. 雖然局部有些許藤紋,
但整體(外觀)很失敗. 而且, 根本像是飛碟!!
看起來很硬, 切開來卻有層次, 而且吃起來外酥脆內香軟, 還有葡萄乾和澱粉咀嚼後的甜味. 但是賣相真的很差啊!
果然是小孩子個性. 不信邪隔天DG去上班時我又做一個. 經過上次經驗略為修正後, 這次底部終於是平的
這是在等待發酵時候的樣子,除了葡萄乾外,這次我還刨了紅蘿蔔絲. 上次的飛碟麵包加的週日吃剩的葡萄乾和堅果....對,我一向秉持用剩下的食材做麵包的理念, 現在經濟不景氣當然更要堅持此理念. (謎之音: 現在什麼都要牽拖給經濟不景氣啊?
等到晚上才烤..........出爐了. 上面雖然有紋路, 但還是不像藤籃啊!!! DG說就叫它麵包王就好了啊,問我為什麼要堅持它是藤藍麵包呢? 也是啦! 於是,藤籃麵包從此正名為山寨麵包, 也就是麵包王啦!
其他胡搞瞎搞的麵包也是見同一本相本啦!
ps/剛剛(3/19)才突然想起有另一個相本是放麵包機的作品,所以就把幾張照片貼到那裡去了 spring break--part 2 (春假) 之一: 土耳其咖啡Turkish coffee輪到我放春假. 之前DG已經放過春假了. 所以叫做part 2.
第一天........哦,好吧,週末不算後的第一天去喝下午茶. 我們最近迷上土耳其咖啡, 是在MN亂逛發現的. 那次我點了摩洛哥咖啡, DG點土耳其咖啡. 發現土耳其咖啡比較好喝, 就迷上了. 至於為什麼去土耳其時候沒發現(只發現它的蘋果茶和茴香酒很讚) 是因為我以前不喝咖啡啊!! 來到米國第二年才開始喝的.
廢話少說. 先上網google一翻找這裡有賣土耳其咖啡的店. 這家店叫做耶路撒冷的花園(Jerusalem Garden).就在圖書館附近. 話說DG下班來把宅女我接出門....
這是土耳其咖啡, 非常特別.
這次索性來個下午茶. 吃到一半才想起拍照. 因為咖啡才是主角嘛!
用這個很奇特的容器裝來的
咖啡杯很小. 大小像是濃縮咖啡那種. 不過別擔心, 雖然不加奶,但是很多糖,而且還有特別的香料味,一點也不苦.
裡面還有一堆咖啡渣.
喝完下午茶我們順便到圖書館逛, 還借了CD和電影(hairspray)回家.
更多照片請看相本(緩慢更新中....)
March 11 Women's Tea (照片更新)住這個社區兩年,除了大掃除外,很少參加社區舉辦的活動. 昨天第一次參加Women's tea,因為看準了除了喝茶外有北歐的蛋糕. 我不是喜歡甜食的人, 尤其痛恨巧克力, 對, 我非常厭惡巧克力.目前為止可接受的巧克力只有兩種--比利時的和奧地利的. 雖然有時候為了健康理由被DG半哄半逼吃黑巧克力,此外我幾乎不吃巧克力.......離題了
言歸正傳. 我看準他的北歐蛋糕是因為下週輪到我們放春假了, 去密西根又要開始做麵包,因此想先"收集"一下靈感. 在我的社區附近有一個專門賣芬蘭食物的小店, 裡面的麵包很好吃, 因此想說下次來試做看看. 要試做當然得先試吃(按: 我不會看食譜, 所有試做都是靠試吃,憑著味覺和視覺試做的, 不要再問我食譜了啦....請饒過我吧). 反正就是衝著這點去的.
總共有四種蛋糕, 我選了一種據說是該家麵包店招牌的蛋糕. 不過其實即使那不是招牌蛋糕我還是只會選那個, 因為其他兩個是巧克力的,還有一個看起來像檸檬派的樣子. 至於為什麼我選這種呢? 因為上面有草莓,裡面有香蕉, 剩下甜點的成分很少,符合我的口味. 回來後DG問我吃了幾塊,我說一塊半他很是驚訝, 一問之後才發現我根本是去吃水果的嘛
我搭配的是杏茶. 既然要試吃當然是吃沒試過的嘛! 活動最後有抽獎, 就是場地裡面佈置的花與花瓶當作獎品. 最後抽的獎是最大瓶的, 就讓我抱回家了. 用手機拍了兩張. 焦點不清請見諒.
這是該麵包店的網址: http://www.tasteofscandinavia.com/index.html. 裡面竟然有我之前自己亂發明的番茄羅樂麵包.....真是太對我胃口了啊!!
今天(3/11)發現百合(?)開了,又照了一張如下
March 09 關於寫論文這檔事...你猜這張圖是什麼?
既然本文標題講到論文,當然是跟論文有關囉! 是的,這是馬先生的論文. 是從這裡借出來的. 不過這不是本文主旨,所以相關的故事放到最後當作bonus好了
這學期論文進度嚴重落後. 其實被困在論文裡的感覺很差, 之前也寫過我的A版懷孕期間最討厭聽到的話(沒想到已經過一年了啊!),再加上之前朋友寄的學生自拍寫論文的影片(I can't write no dissertation), 再來發洩一下心中的鬱悶~
論文進度緩慢原因有數:
第一當然是用外語寫作,用字遣辭(word choice)的問題. 英語不是母語的情況下,很多用字不道地. 加上老闆也很要求, 改來改去改到昏頭. 例如最近,我們從 right,改成Privilege ,又改成opportunity 最後昨天又改回right. 這個字已經困擾兩個禮拜. 一篇論文有多少字, 每個關鍵字都這樣的話還得了啊
第二還是和外語寫作相關. 在台灣,作文分數要拿高分實在很簡單,有固定格式. 反正最後來個反共解救大陸之類的結論就對了(這是我在台灣唸書時候的情形啦). 英文寫作就不是這麼回事了. 英文寫作當然也有它的格式, 雖然買了書,一度還找了editor, 但是錢花了不表示自己的英文作文能力就進步了啊! 雖然我也知道一段一主題(one theme per paragraph), 主題完寫假設與證據(theme/claim-warrant-evidence)的架構,常常寫出來就不是這回事啊! 除了老闆痛苦我也很痛苦啊!
第三是因為找reference很花時間. 最糟糕的是, 從文章A提到文章B,讀了文章B後又發現文章C....然後一路下去,無窮廻圈. 很想要來個畫地自限, 方圓百裡之外通通不算不理啊! 有時候要找到原文還相當困難,例如早年的conference proceedings未必找得到.
再扯個題外話,我老闆對這這個也是非常小心與認真. 所有我引用的文章,我都得印一份給他, 他會讀過(至於是每篇讀還是怎樣我就不知道了). 有時候我們還會對是否引用該篇有不同看法,或是引用該篇的哪個論點意見相左.然後會為了這些不同看法爭執許久. 當然啦,大部分情況下都是我退讓(誰叫我是學生嘛). 不過這樣至少可確保引用正確啦. 第四個原因是時間的排擠效果. 教一門新的課要花很多時間備課, 連出考卷都很花時間. 雖然有別的老師開一樣的課,我大可以直接用,我卻選擇不要. 因為每個人教學哲學不同, 我自己非常痛恨那種考背定義的題目, 我重視的是了解一個觀念後的應用. 因此我會拿WSJ等報章雜誌的文章來讓學生讀, 再告訴學生這些和我們學到的哪些觀念是相關的. 我不知道學生是否喜歡這樣, 但我知道我非常厭惡那種只會背定義知其然不知所以然的方式. 所以只好自己準備教材(而不用系上固定材料),也只好自己出考題. 我很喜歡自己出的題目. 裡面有很多題組,涵蓋不同的章節,學生必須是融會貫通後才可以做答的,想要"背多分"有點困難.
再扯個題外話, 系上另外兩個同屆的教另一門課,因為用的是同一份考題,現在開始擔心考試出來結果可以直接拿來比較教學品質, 我就不用擔心這個了啦,哇哈哈! (奸計得逞狀
於是,最近的心情,就像是之前就post在另一個網誌當時的心情一樣, 很"賽"啦,但不違之前自己先前的比喻起見, 引用這張圖之前要先介紹一下數學上或說是邏輯上的一個原則: if A=B, B=C, then A=C (這叫做寓教於樂?)
例如: 人生如夢,夢如煙,煙如屁--> 人生如屁. 套用此, 先將寫論文比喻做與論文談戀愛, 再將愛情比喻做屎. 也就是說--
寫論文就像便便,
靈感來了擋也擋不住; 寫論文就像便便, 檔案死掉了就再也回不來了; 寫論文就像便便, 改來改去每一版本都一樣又都不大一樣 (因為只是重新包裝嘛); 寫論文就像便便, 有時努力很久卻只是個屁! (事實上就算寫完了大部分時候也是被他人當作屁啊!) 最後來到"紅利"(bonus)小故事時間了!
有退休教師因為對於馬先生的論文題目(Trouble Over Oily Waters: Legal Problems of Seabed Boundaries and Foreign Investments in the East China Sea)感到興趣因此開始研究馬先生的論文, 沒想到不研究還好,一研究發現問題重重. 除了有超過一千個錯字錯誤除外,有的引用的文獻根本找不到,現在還懷疑有抄襲(plagiarism)的可能. 本文一開始的圖片裡面的紅字就是那位退休老師的註釋.
所以說,馬先生的論文沒有被當成屁,反而被認真研究,那真的是很可喜的一件事啊! 如果想在學術界混日子,論文被研究是件好事.
話說回來, 每個老闆都像我老闆那麼仔細的話, 有這些問題的機會應該會小很多吧?! 說真的,如果我是老闆我大概也不會那麼勤奮,除了幫外國人學生做editor的工作,還把學生所有引用的文章都拿來讀過,這所要付出的時間可能和學生本人一樣多,可能更多. 這是我老闆學術上的標準, 我本來非常氣憤老闆的仔細讓我進度緩慢, 現在卻開始感謝他了,因為我可不想留下以後被拿出來大批的證據啊@@
PS/ 這退休老師也真的太閒了吧? 還有,馬先生對這些批評透過王的回應我還蠻同意的--博士論文是看你對某個領域的是否提出獨特的看法. 當然,錯字等也該盡可能的減少,但是論述本身的validity才更是重點
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相關新聞報導(英文)
這裡有翻譯 March 08 [轉載] EDITORIAL: More tricks in the Chen legal circus (updated on 3/9 USA time)Saturday, Mar 07, 2009, Page 8
The trial of former president Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁) brings disrepute to the judicial system with every passing week. For those non-plussed at why prosecutors have not been thoroughly investigated for leaking material to the media, there is always the smorgasbord of other bizarre circumstances to consider: ludicrous arguments for keeping Chen in detention; a switching of judges that put Chen back in detention; faulty recording or informal summaries of “testimony” by witnesses who likely made deals with the prosecution; mandatory taping of meetings between Chen and his legal team by detention center officials; prosecutors mocking their target in theatrical skits; prejudicial comments by Minister of Justice Wang Ching-feng (王清峰) and at least two members of the legislature’s judiciary committee; threats by legislators against dissenting judges elsewhere in the legal system; and so on, and so on. It's a genuine feast. ------ 延伸閱讀: [轉載]看戲的心情(2)我甚少在公開部落格講個人對經濟的一些看法,原因很簡單, 它不是我的專長. 之前我在不開放的部落格講到一些個人對Obama當選後的感想 (需要密碼,因為是不開放的), 當時(2008年11月八日寫的)我提到我對經濟悲觀的看法, 節錄如下-- 2. 美國經濟不會好. 不會好的原因有幾個. 第一個,民主黨向來是主張大政府的(特別此次民主黨也在國會佔優勢,總統+國會........我看大政府是跑不掉了). (後略) 第二個原因是, 歐巴馬主張管制經濟與保護主義. 不相信自由貿易,不相信市場機制(其實很諷刺!) 管制經濟的下場是處以凌遲,慢慢死的那種. (後略) 第三個原因是,歐巴馬如果是極端或說傳統的民主黨, 那公司稅一定會加稅. 公司稅增加的結果最後羊毛出在羊身上,倒楣的是員工啦. 美國的公司稅現在已經偏高了(35%),...新加坡一開始獨立給外商7年免稅! 相比之下美國的公司稅已經這麼高了,還加,會好到哪啊? 為什麼加公司稅?(後略) 現在看到這篇史丹佛大學經濟教授的文章, 真是深得我心啊! ------------------ [轉載開始] 前一篇才講到美國貨條款對美國經濟的影響, 現在就有這篇新聞. Obama's Radicalism Is Killing the Dow A financial crisis is the worst time to change the foundations of American capitalism By MICHAEL J. BOSKIN It's hard not to see the continued sell-off on Wall Street and the growing fear on Main Street as a product, at least in part, of the realization that our new president's policies are designed to radically re-engineer the market-based U.S. economy, not just mitigate the recession and financial crisis. Martin Kozlowski The illusion that Barack Obama will lead from the economic center has quickly come to an end. Instead of combining the best policies of past Democratic presidents -- John Kennedy on taxes, Bill Clinton on welfare reform and a balanced budget, for instance -- President Obama is returning to Jimmy Carter's higher taxes and Mr. Clinton's draconian defense drawdown. 看到沒,就說民主黨當選增稅的可能性遠大過於減稅. 實在不是我烏鴉嘴啊! 之前也講過要是希拉蕊出線,美國經濟不會這麼慘的原因.... Mr. Obama's $3.6 trillion budget blueprint, by his own admission, redefines the role of government in our economy and society. The budget more than doubles the national debt held by the public, adding more to the debt than all previous presidents -- from George Washington to George W. Bush -- combined. It reduces defense spending to a level not sustained since the dangerous days before World War II, while increasing nondefense spending (relative to GDP) to the highest level in U.S. history. And it would raise taxes to historically high levels (again, relative to GDP). And all of this before addressing the impending explosion in Social Security and Medicare costs. 看吧! 就說民主黨向來主張大政府...(有興趣可看這篇英文的報導; 還有這個....後面這個直接提到"The president has not explained to Americans that if they want bigger government, they will have to pay for it") To be fair, specific parts of the president's budget are admirable and deserve support: increased means-testing in agriculture and medical payments; permanent indexing of the alternative minimum tax and other tax reductions; recognizing the need for further financial rescue and likely losses thereon; and bringing spending into the budget that was previously in supplemental appropriations, such as funding for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The specific problems, however, far outweigh the positives. First are the quite optimistic forecasts, despite the higher taxes and government micromanagement that will harm the economy. The budget projects a much shallower recession and stronger recovery than private forecasters or the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office are projecting. It implies a vast amount of additional spending and higher taxes, above and beyond even these record levels. For example, it calls for a down payment on universal health care, with the additional "resources" needed "TBD" (to be determined). Mr. Obama has bravely said he will deal with the projected deficits in Medicare and Social Security. While reform of these programs is vital, the president has shown little interest in reining in the growth of real spending per beneficiary, and he has rejected increasing the retirement age. Instead, he's proposed additional taxes on earnings above the current payroll tax cap of $106,800 -- a bad policy that would raise marginal tax rates still further and barely dent the long-run deficit. Increasing the top tax rates on earnings to 39.6% and on capital gains and dividends to 20% will reduce incentives for our most productive citizens and small businesses to work, save and invest -- with effective rates higher still because of restrictions on itemized deductions and raising the Social Security cap. As every economics student learns, high marginal rates distort economic decisions, the damage from which rises with the square of the rates (doubling the rates quadruples the harm). The president claims he is only hitting 2% of the population, but many more will at some point be in these brackets. 經濟上的鐵律: people respond to incentives. 之前就講過, 違反人性的制度是不會持久的....美國開始走向共產制度了嗎? 好啦,是社會主義, 還沒到共產主義,可以吧?! As for energy policy, the president's cap-and-trade plan for CO2 would ensnare a vast network of covered sources, opening up countless opportunities for political manipulation, bureaucracy, or worse. It would likely exacerbate volatility in energy prices, as permit prices soar in booms and collapse in busts. The European emissions trading system has been a dismal failure. A direct, transparent carbon tax would be far better. Moreover, the president's energy proposals radically underestimate the time frame for bringing alternatives plausibly to scale. His own Energy Department estimates we will need a lot more oil and gas in the meantime, necessitating $11 trillion in capital investment to avoid permanently higher prices. The president proposes a large defense drawdown to pay for exploding nondefense outlays -- similar to those of Presidents Carter and Clinton -- which were widely perceived by both Republicans and Democrats as having gone too far, leaving large holes in our military. We paid a high price for those mistakes and should not repeat them. The president's proposed limitations on the value of itemized deductions for those in the top tax brackets would clobber itemized charitable contributions, half of which are by those at the top. This change effectively increases the cost to the donor by roughly 20% (to just over 72 cents from 60 cents per dollar donated). Estimates of the responsiveness of giving to after-tax prices range from a bit above to a little below proportionate, so reductions in giving will be large and permanent, even after the recession ends and the financial markets rebound. A similar effect will exacerbate tax flight from states like California and New York, which rely on steeply progressive income taxes collecting a large fraction of revenue from a small fraction of their residents. This attack on decentralization permeates the budget -- e.g., killing the private fee-for-service Medicare option -- and will curtail the experimentation, innovation and competition that provide a road map to greater effectiveness. The pervasive government subsidies and mandates -- in health, pharmaceuticals, energy and the like -- will do a poor job of picking winners and losers (ask the Japanese or Europeans) and will be difficult to unwind as recipients lobby for continuation and expansion. Expanding the scale and scope of government largess means that more and more of our best entrepreneurs, managers and workers will spend their time and talent chasing handouts subject to bureaucratic diktats, not the marketplace needs and wants of consumers. Our competitors have lower corporate tax rates and tax only domestic earnings, yet the budget seeks to restrict deferral of taxes on overseas earnings, arguing it drives jobs overseas. But the academic research (most notably by Mihir Desai, C. Fritz Foley and James Hines Jr.) reveals the opposite: American firms' overseas investments strengthen their domestic operations and employee compensation. 看吧! 就說美國的公司稅已經過高了,之前我就講過馬侃的經濟政策(減公司稅)是比較好的,可惜叫好不叫座. 之前也講過新加坡建國初期如何利用海外投資增強自己的經濟實力...看我沒說錯吧 New and expanded refundable tax credits would raise the fraction of taxpayers paying no income taxes to almost 50% from 38%. This is potentially the most pernicious feature of the president's budget, because it would cement a permanent voting majority with no stake in controlling the cost of general government. From the poorly designed stimulus bill and vague new financial rescue plan, to the enormous expansion of government spending, taxes and debt somehow permanently strengthening economic growth, the assumptions underlying the president's economic program seem bereft of rigorous analysis and a careful reading of history. Unfortunately, our history suggests new government programs, however noble the intent, more often wind up delivering less, more slowly, at far higher cost than projected, with potentially damaging unintended consequences. The most recent case, of course, was the government's meddling in the housing market to bring home ownership to low-income families, which became a prime cause of the current economic and financial disaster. On the growth effects of a large expansion of government, the European social welfare states present a window on our potential future: standards of living permanently 30% lower than ours. Rounding off perceived rough edges of our economic system may well be called for, but a major, perhaps irreversible, step toward a European-style social welfare state with its concomitant long-run economic stagnation is not. Mr. Boskin is a professor of economics at Stanford University and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. He chaired the Council of Economic Advisers under President George H.W. Bush. March 07 玉山在哪裡?March 01 "偽"鹹酥雞 |
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